When Donald Trump came to office last
January, it was with the promise that he would have the war in Ukraine over
with in twenty-four hours. Like much of what Donald Trump says and promises,
this statement too was empty, hyperbolic and always undoable.
Since then, however, he and what I call
his non-negotiators—principally Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Vice-President
JD Vance and Special Envoy Steve Witkoff—have sought to quickly end the
conflict by scandalously siding with Russia’s Vladimir Putin and vilifying Ukrainian
leader Volodymyr Zelensky. This approach ignores completely the fact that the
Ukraine War is a war of aggression perpetrated by Russia’s totalitarian leader against
a sovereign nation. It also disregards the direct challenge Russia’s aggression
poses to NATO, and to the sovereignty of the nations of both Eastern and
Western Europe.
The Trump administration’s stance further
ignores the fact that Russia is a natural enemy of the US and of the West as a
whole, engaged ever since World War II in an ideological and geopolitical
struggle for worldwide influence and power that is opposed to the West’s own
world leadership goals. There has only been one brief period of rapprochement
following the fall of the Berlin Wall. But since the start in 1999 of the reign
of Vladimir Putin, alternating between the offices of prime minister and
president, the focus of the Kremlin has been on reviving Russian imperialism and
on the reestablishment of a bipolar world.
Incredibly, considering this
environment, the officials handling Trump’s virtual capitulation to Putin’s
whims are now quoting a Russian talking point as the basis for their
“negotiations”. Namely, that the war is not Russia’s fault at all, but
Ukraine’s for seeking a place as a Western ally within the framework of NATO.
Here, my friends, is where we should be seeing a huge flashing sign reading: What’s
wrong with this picture?

What I mean by that, in case you’ve let
yourself get confused about who Putin is and who the US is supposed to be, is
that Ukraine’s wanting a closer relationship with the West is now, and should
always have been, a good thing, not a fault. Ukraine is a key piece in the
geopolitical puzzle, the very terrain which stands between Russia and renewed
domination of Eastern Europe. In case you’re getting lost on the map, if
Ukraine’s wanting to be in NATO sparked Russia’s war of aggression, letting
Russia have Ukraine is the same as opening a gaping hole in Western defense
against a repeat of Russian post-war imperialism, and of the czarist imperialism
that preceded it.
In the manner of Herod making a
reluctant gift to Salome of John the Baptist’s head, Trump administration officials
conducting these non-negotiations are starting from a position of abject
weakness by kneeling before Putin with Crimea on a platter. Their sorely
uneducated notion is that Crimea has always pretty much been Russian anyway,
and besides, Putin grabbed it a decade ago, so, hey, finders keepers.
But is that really the case? The answer
is, no.
The fact is that prior to Russia’s
original imperialist advances, Crimea was inhabited by various ethnic groups, but
principally the Crimean Tatars. They were a Turkic people who established the
Crimean Khanate in the fifteenth century. Indeed, the name Crimea is derived
from the Turkish root word Qirim. Crimea was a vassal khanate of the
Ottoman Empire from 1478 to 1774. The Ukrainian region was, then, part of the
Ottoman Empire’s broader sphere of influence, not that of the Russian Empire.
It was only through conquest, not by
legal or consensual means, that the Russian Empire annexed Crimea in 1783,
following the Russo-Turkish War (1768–1774). At the end of that war, the Ottoman Empire had
granted Crimea independence through the Treaty of Küçük Kaynarca (1774). So the
Russian annexation nine years later was the first instance of Russia’s simply
grabbing sovereign Crimea for its own strategic purposes. It was that
annexation that marked the start of a Russian presence on the peninsula, but contrary
to Putin’s narrative, that presence wasn’t based on any inherent or historic
Russian claim to Crimea.
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| Crimean Tatars |
The Putin myth echoed by Trump officials that
ethnic Russians have always formed the population of Crimea is also spurious. While it is true that Cossacks traditionally
formed part of the Crimean population, along with the native Turkic Crimean Tatars,
and while it is also true that Cossacks took part in Russian military campaigns
throughout history, the Cossacks cannot be counted as Russians. They were a
diverse group of predominantly East Slavic people. A mix of peasants, escaped
serfs, and some nobility, they emerged as a nomadic society in the fifteenth
century, banding together for mutual protection. They were a quasi-military and
semi-nomadic society that primarily inhabited the Ukrainian steppes, venturing
as well into Southern Russia. While the Cossacks still exist, with various
levels of organization and activity, their communities have been reconstituted
and adapted to modern society.
Highly independent and of autonomous
spirit, while not strictly mercenaries, the armies of the Cossacks often fought
for a variety of regional powers, including Russia, in exchange for
self-governance and a free lifestyle. They played a significant role in the
history of the region, including participation in conflicts with various states
in resistance against foreign invaders. But they formed part of no other
nation.
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| Cossacks - quasi-military, semi-nomadic people |
Nor is the term "Cossack"
Russian. It is derived from the Turkic word kazak, which, literally
translated, means adventurer or free man. Furthermore, East Slavs, the ethnicity
to which the Cossacks pertain, were once part of a federation of principalities
known as Kyivan Rus', a medieval state that existed from the
late ninth to the mid-thirteenth century. It emerged as a powerful
confederation with the city-state of Kyiv (today the capital of Ukraine) as its
capital, and its territory encompassed much of what are today Ukraine, Belarus,
and parts of Russia.
That said, the Cossacks weren’t
indigenous to Crimea. Having taken part
in Russian military campaigns in the area, some of their number eventually
settled on or near the Crimean Peninsula, but their presence does not give
Russia a legitimate claim. Especially since some of the campaigns the Cossacks
took part in where Russian efforts to subjugate and/or displace the native
Crimean Tatars.As for the Tatars, they were the
dominant ethnic and political group in Crimea for centuries, and still formed
the majority of the population until 1944, when Soviet strongman Joseph Stalin
engineered their mass deportation. It was, then, through an act of what is
today known as ethnic cleansing, rather than through any legitimate transfer of
sovereignty, that the Crimean region’s demographic balance was tipped toward a
predominantly ethnic Russian population.
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| Stalin's deportation of the Tatars |
From a strictly legal standpoint, ten
years after Stalin’s annexation of Crimea in 1944, the Presidium of the Supreme
Soviet (governing body of the USSR) transferred the peninsula back to Ukraine
in 1954. Basically, the Supreme Soviet removed Crimea from the Russian Soviet
Federative Socialist Republic (RSFSR) and placed it once more under the
original control of Ukraine (at the time, the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist
Republic). Ukraine’s claim to Crimea was never questioned after that, until
Putin’s decade-long challenge to Ukrainian sovereignty—not by the Russian
Federation after the fall of the USSR in 1991, nor by any international body.
What is more, International law
recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine. Following the collapse of the Soviet
Union in 1991, Ukraine inherited Crimea as part of its internationally
recognized borders. Russia itself recognized these borders in multiple
treaties, including the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, in which Russia agreed to
respect Ukraine’s sovereignty in exchange for Ukraine giving up its nuclear
arsenal.
Bearing all of this in mind, Russia’s
2014 annexation of Crimea and its armed invasion of other parts of Ukraine’s
sovereign territory, using devastating military force, are violations of international
law, and have sparked the largest major ground war in Europe since World War II—one
involving a world-class nuclear power. Russia’s war of aggression on a
sovereign country has drawn widespread condemnation in the international
community. The United Nations has passed a resolution (R68/262) reaffirming Ukraine’s
territorial integrity and declaring invalid a referendum held by Russia in
Crimea to try and justify its annexation.
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| Crimean Tatar children in traditional dress |
In short, Russia’s claim to
Crimea and all other areas of Ukraine that it has usurped by military force
since 2014 is historically, ethnically, legally and morally illegitimate, and
the Trump administration’s attempts to justify Russia’s actions based on some “might
makes right” theory that forms part of Trump’s authoritarian view of the world,
fly in the face of international law, of respect for the sovereignty of free
nations, and of America’s traditional role as the erstwhile leader of the
Western world.
Worst of all, Donald Trump admires
authoritarians. It’s a schoolyard philosophy, a bully’s attitude of joining
other bullies in ganging up on the weaker kids in order not to have to stand up
to the other bullies himself. It’s a
stance that not only makes the US Russia’s vassal, but which is also tantamount
to appeasing a dangerous, megalomaniacal imperialist.
It is easy enough to understand if we
stop pretending this is business as usual and start realizing that Trump
identifies with Putin because Trump has megalomaniacal expansionist delusions
of his own when it comes to our neighbors. There is all too obviously no
difference between Trump’s feverish, openly-stated ambition of taking over
Canada and making it a state, and Putin’s realized dream of invading Russia’s
sovereign neighbors and making them part of his empire.

Appeasing bullies has never worked. There is no
better example to quote than that of another megalomaniacal expansionist who
invaded his neighbors prior to World War II. The US and Europe alike appeased
Germany’s Adolf Hitler when he took over Austria. They turned a blind eye as well
when he went on to invade Czechoslovakia, apparently hoping if they let him
violate the sovereignty of a couple of nations, he would somehow get it out of
his system. It was a fatal mistake, one with the most catastrophic consequences
the world has even known.
Western Europe needs to stop appeasing
not only Vladimir Putin, but also Donald Trump, if the US itself continues to
fail to rein in its rogue leader. European leaders must stop hoping against
hope that Trump will have some sort of epiphany and suddenly begin exercising
the kind of pro-Western leadership the US consistently produced before the Era
of Trump. For as long as Trump is leading it, the US is no longer a reliable
ally, and does not have the best interests of the free world in mind. If anyone
is to save Europe from the new wave of Russian imperialism—which, make no
mistake, will not end in Ukraine if Ukraine is abandoned to its fate—it will
have to be Western Europe itself, and the time to step up, sideline Trump, and
draw a line in Ukraine is now.