Saturday, April 4, 2026

A 14-MONTH-LONG CAT-5 HURRICANE

 


Donald J. Trump has done more during the first fourteen months of his second term as president to undermine, and indeed, destroy the reputation, standing and integrity of the United States than any other phenomenon in American history.

I make this statement advisedly, because the US Civil War was indeed the greatest tragedy in American history. But it was also one of the nation’s greatest triumphs, reuniting the country as one, ending the scourge of slavery, reestablishing the rule of law, and, despite decades of hardships and challenges that were to follow, moving the country gradually toward ever greater equality and social order. Donald Trump has, on the contrary, even backtracked on much of that progress, by systematically seeking to turn the clock back to a pre-Civil Rights Era racist mentality—floating the elements of “manifest destiny” and of replacement-theory politics—and to a time when women were considered second-class citizens.

America's domestic essence and international reputation have been founded, historically, not on “power”, but on strength, the international strength of representing Western democratic ideals and of standing against aggression, and the domestic values of upholding free and fair elections, the strict rule of law, and the stability of peaceful transfers of power from one administration to the next.

While Trump’s first term in office tested all of these healthy and honorable traditions and principles to the limit, the liberal democratic system managed to endure. And the system prevailed despite scant effort on the part of the Republican Party, corrupted and hijacked by the Trump phenomenon, which, even after the fact, purged the most honorable of its members, who had demonstrated their devotion to political rectitude, and to the values of nation over political affiliation.

Incomprehensibly re-elected, however, by a slim popular margin in 2024, Trump has taken his second term as a mandate to completely dismantle the constitutional system that he repeatedly assaulted without final success during his first four years from 2016 to 2020. I have often compared Trump to “a bull in a china shop” when it comes to the Constitution, civil rights, the rule of law, and plain common decency. But in his second term, this metaphor has fallen short. The past fourteen and a half months have indeed been more like a prolonged and unabated category five hurricane in terms of the devastation wrought by Trump in the areas of constitutionality, democratic health, ethical traditions, civil rights, American culture, and the international standing of the United States on the domestic and global stage.

Since Day One of his second term starting on January 20th, 2025, Trump has, with the aid of his unqualified but sycophantic picks for key posts in the Department of Justice, intelligence and law enforcement, systematically weaponized federal power against any and all opposition to his absolute power, not merely blurring, but basically obliterating the once sharp line between democracy and political retribution. He has underscored this corruption of American justice by making public attacks on judges, juries and the courts—including the Supreme Court—thus diluting confidence in American judicial independence, once the cornerstone of America’s credibility both at home and abroad.

The impact of this is a fast-growing perception of the US as an increasingly authoritarian regime in which once democratic institutions now serve power rather than constraining it.

Along these lines, a hallmark of this second term to date has been the gross use of government agencies for political ends. Immigration enforcement—something nearly all sides agree must improve, but which the majority of Americans agree must be carried out within the confines of the rule of law—has been particularly affected, expanding in ways that are blatantly illegal, unconstitutional, patently violent, and in frank violation of civil rights granted to citizens and foreigners alike under the Constitution.

“Immigration concerns” have also been used by the second Trump administration as an excuse to literally invade major cities and states governed by his political opponents, creating a personal army of thousands of federally-immune government agents as a shock force to attempt to intimidate dissent based on states’ rights. Congressional criticism—even among a handful of members of Congress from Trump’s own party—point to widespread concern over the Trump regime’s lawlessness and complete indifference to civil rights.

Trump has also openly pressured or publicly discredited both intelligence and law enforcement agencies whenever their findings point to credible reports of wrongdoing on his part or on the part of his friends and cronies, or when such findings conflict with his political or personal goals. Hundreds of law enforcement and  intelligence agents—three hundred in the FBI alone—many of them highly experienced experts in investigation, counter-terrorism, espionage, etc., have been unceremoniously sacked because of previously having been involved in probes into the Epstein files, or in Jack Smith’s inquiry into Trump’s mishandling of classified documents and into his attempts to manipulate and overturn the 2020 elections. And more than three thousand prosecutors, investigators and staffers have been forced out of the DOJ for similar reasons.

This last, the savaging of the DOJ and federal law enforcement, has significantly weakened America’s ability to defend itself against its enemies, both foreign and domestic. And Trump has doubled down on debilitating the US by replacing some key officials in this area with individuals who have no qualified experience whatsoever. The naming of Kash Patel to head the FBI is a blatant enough example of placing highly trained agents under the command of a clueless sycophant—as was the stint of former DHS Secretary Kristi Noem.

But an even greater and almost ludicrous example of this sort of surreally sycophantic restaffing of the State is that of Thomas Fugate III, appointed to head the Center for Prevention Programs and Partnerships (CP3)—a division of the Department of Homeland Security charged with combating domestic terrorism and targeted violence.

The man Fugate replaced was Bill Braniff. Braniff was an Army veteran with more than two decades of national security experience. Prior to heading up CP3 during the second half of the Biden administration and the first three months of the Trump regime, Braniff had been director of the University of Maryland's National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism—in other words, a consummate professional and expert. On leaving DHS, Braniff joined the Polarization and Extremism Research and Innovation Lab (PERIL) at the American University.

Fugate, for his part, prior to his appointment as the head of CP3, was working in 2022 as a cashier in a supermarket, then later was a staffer in the far-right Heritage Foundation. His only other qualification for the DHS appointment was apparently his being a self-described “Trumplican”, and having volunteered as a GOP campaign organizer.

All of this undermines the United States’ reputation as a neutral rule-of-law state, and aligns it with the sort of governments—Putin’s Russia and Orbán’s Hungary, for instance, as well as tinpot dictatorships in third world nations—that the US has historically criticized and condemned.

In line with all of this, both in his first term, and, to an even greater extent, in his second, Trump has normalized hate speech, while systematically dismantling through State action most of the  progress made since the Civil Rights Era in terms of diversity, equality and inclusion—positive values in modern civilized society but perceived by the Trump regime as negative terms that undermine MAGA’s most cherished white-supremacist principles (manifest destiny and the myth of “reverse racism”).  Trump’s rhetoric, on the whole, is reckless, disdainful and inflammatory. But it is particularly contemptuous when it comes to immigrants, political opponents, and international institutions.

Add to that his most recent attack on the Supreme Court for refusing to allow his regime to decide who, born on US soil, can be a citizen and who can’t. The Fourteenth Amendment clearly states that if you are born in the US, you are an American citizen, period. And that was the interpretation, even of the three far-right justices Trump named to the Court during his first term. Trump is now calling the three of them “stupid”, and has suggested that if they are on  the Court thanks to him, they should be grateful and always rule in his favor, no matter how outlandish the request might be. Someone should probably tell him, perhaps, that justices are bound to rule in accordance with the law,  not in harmony with the president. But then, who’s going to tell him? His lapdog sycophants in the DOJ?

Trump’s effect on political and social rhetoric has been so all-pervasive that he has managed to normalize language once considered a violation of democratic norms. He has persuaded his most loyal followers that it is now okay to employ the racial slurs they had been inhibited from using in good company by liberal democratic norms in the post-Civil Right Era. He has made it okay in certain circles to sneer at political correctness, to insult those one considers different, or as representative of “the others”, to reject, offend and ostracize people who failed to fit the framework of MAGA, and so on.

A recent example that pretty much says it all was Trump’s comment on the death last month of Robert Mueller. When learning of Mueller’s death at eighty-one, Trump could think of nothing more proper to say than, “Good. I’m glad he’s dead.”

It is worthwhile recalling who Robert Mueller was and why that makes Trump’s vile statement all the more egregious. Even as far back as the late sixties, before he had reached his mid-twenties, Robert Mueller was heroically serving his country. Born into privilege like Donald Trump, Mueller, much to the contrary of Trump—who comes from a long line of service-shirkers, and describes America’s dead heroes as “suckers and losers”—joined the Marines after receiving a bachelor’s degree from Princeton and a post-graduate degree in international relations from New York University.

It is worthwhile remembering that there was still obligatory conscription during that war and that Donald Trump was eligible for it, but managed to acquire four temporary deferments from serving, and finally, a fifth permanent rejection which alleged he had bone spurs in his heels that rendered him physically inept.

After completing Officer Candidate School and being commissioned as a second lieutenant, Mueller went to the Army’s Ranger School. Marine officers frequently trained with the Rangers for experience leading long-range reconnaissance patrols—often search-and-destroy missions with a high casualty rate. He was placed with a Marine combat company in South Vietnam near enemy lines

It was on this first tour as a young second lieutenant that Mueller won a Bronze Star for valor. It was on December 11, 1968, while leading a Marine rifle platoon on patrol in Quang Tri Province that Mueller and his men fell victims to an ambush by Vietcong armed with grenade-launchers, machine guns, mortars and small arms. The citation issued with his Bronze Star said that he  “personally led a fire team across the fire-swept area terrain to recover a mortally wounded Marine,” while it commended his “courage, aggressive initiative and unwavering devotion to duty at great personal risk.” Four months later, he would win a Purple Heart for taking an AK-47 assault rifle slug through the thigh while leading his platoon on a mission to rescue US soldiers pinned down under  another lethal Vietcong attack.

After leaving Vietnam, Mueller attended the University of Virginia where he completed his law degree by 1973. Three years later, he was already a federal prosecutor in San Francisco. And in a meteoric rise of a few short years was chief prosecutor for the criminal division of the Northern District of California.

By 1982, at age thirty-seven, Mueller was in Boston prosecuting fraud, corruption, money-laundering and terrorism cases. Mueller joined the Justice Department in Washington in 1989, and within a year, would be chief of the criminal division, where he would grapple with managing a hundred US Attorney offices and some two thousand federal prosecutors, while serving as a nexus with the FBI.

Ironically enough, Mueller’s immediate superior at the Justice Department was William Barr, with whom he would cross paths again three decades later, when Barr was Trump’s attorney general and Mueller was a special prosecutor investigating Russian interference in Trump’s election.

Mueller would also oversee prosecution of Panamanian strongman Manuel Noriega, whose power stemmed in large part from his long-term relationship with the CIA—one of those dictators immorally supported by the US in its so-called war on communism in Latin America. Mueller was investigating Noriega as a kingpin in cocaine trafficking to the US. He would also head up the investigation into the bombing of Pan Am Flight 103 over Lockerbie Scotland that killed two hundred fifty-nine people on board and eleven people on the ground. The FBI had probed the case unsuccessfully for two years, when Mueller used his authority as head of the criminal division to break through the agency’s barriers to multi-agency investigations and brought in the CIA, Britain’s MI5 and the Scottish police and got them all to share their information. As a result, Mueller made use of a tip from Scottish authorities to put the FBI on the trail of a Libyan intelligence officer who had used his cover as security chief for the Libyan flag-carrier airline to plant the bomb on the Pan Am plane. The bomber,  Abdelbaset al-Megrahi, was indicted in 1991, but it would take until 2001 to convict him.

That, 2001, was, paradoxically, the same year that George W. Bush, following the nine-eleven Twin Towers attack, would appoint Mueller to head the FBI. Mueller would serve in that post for the next twelve years. And over the course of that time, he would turn the agency into one of the most effective counter-terror organizations on earth. His tenure would make him the second-longest-serving FBI director in history, only outdistanced by FBI founder J. Edgar Hoover.

After his retirement from the FBI, Mueller would again volunteer to serve his country at a time when Washington was known as “the murder capital of the USA”. President Barack Obama’s Attorney General Eric Holder, who had worked under Mueller at the DOJ, said Mueller called him “out of the blue” and asked if he needed a murder prosecutor. Holder asked Mueller if he wasn’t maybe “over-qualified” for a line prosecutor’s post, but then said, “When can you start?”

Over the next three years, Mueller successfully investigated and brought down dozens of killers, helping significantly reduce the murder rate in the nation’s capital. During that time, he always answered his own phone, with a simple,  “Mueller, homicide.”

This is the American hero about whom the current president could think of nothing better to say than, “Good, I’m glad he’s dead.” And adding, “He can no longer hurt innocent people!” In typical style, the “innocent people” Trump referred to was only one person: him. It was Trump’s own DOJ that appointed Mueller as special counsel to investigate alleged Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election. Mueller, as always, did his job thoroughly and effectively. The report that he handed to Attorney General Bill Barr at the end of his probe concluded that while Trump himself had committed no crime, there was indeed evidence that Russian intelligence had interfered in the elections.

Barr, at Trump’s behest, smoothed this over by suppressing the report and providing an interpretation in which he dispelled any reports of collusion between Russia and the Trump camp. But Trump never forgave Mueller for carrying out an honest and impartial investigation, instead of engaging in a pro-Trump cover-up. In this second term, Trump has gone to great pains to ensure that there is no one impartial and effective in key positions in the government, surrounding himself with sycophants who are willing to break the law and the Constitution to protect his interests.

In conclusion of this point, Trump’s vile rhetoric and disdain for diversity, equality and inclusion—and the language that goes with it—has  not merely emboldened his cultist followers to take his lead. It has also emboldened other authoritarian leaders worldwide, who cite the United States as no longer having moral authority to criticize repression or abuses against their own citizens. Therefore, the US has lost its ability to influence other nations through values rather than force.

Worse still, Trump has single-handedly trashed America’s reputation as a reliable ally. It would be hard to exaggerate the importance of this, since the full trust in us of our allies has been among America’s greatest strategic assets since World War II.

Starting already in his first term, Trump’s disparaging remarks regarding our closest Western allies, his cozy relations with perceived enemies of the West and dictators in general, his loose-lipped handling of shared intelligence and his transactional (extortive) brand of “diplomacy”  badly weakened long-standing partnerships including NATO. And in the first year and three months of his second term, the eighty-year-old Western NATO alliance has been stretched to the breaking point. America’s erstwhile allies are now reluctant to share intelligence with Washington and are studying contingencies for NATO without the US, and, perhaps even, NATO with the US as its enemy and as a clear and present threat.

Even if Americans manage to topple the Trump regime, the damage he has done to our world standing will surely take decades to heal. And that will only happen if a Trump-free Washington has the humility to act proactively to get the West back on board with us.

Trump’s illegal war in Iran has only underscored this disconnect, with Trump’s Secretary of State Marco Rubio threatening to pull out of NATO because the alliance has refused to aid and abet the Trump regime in its war of aggression against Iran—a supreme crime against humanity under international law. Moreover, Trump’s lawless action has caused Iran to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, effectively blocking worldwide delivery of a fifth of the world’s oil.

And now Trump’s regime is telling our one-time allies that the oil  blockade is not his problem. That it will be up to them to re-open Hormuz, since he seems to have grown bored with his war and is planning to end it soon. This is tantamount to tossing a live grenade into the midst of a group of friendly acquaintances and then running away.

Trump’s abrupt unilateral military actions without allied consultation and in violation of international law and the UN Charter have, in short, underscored uncertainty about US decision-making. Escalatory actions like airstrikes or other military interventions are being perceived as authoritarian and impulsive rather than strategic, and, as such, an imminent threat to world peace and prosperity.

Allies are, then increasingly hedging their bets. They are building independent capabilities or turning to regional arrangements, because they understand that if the Trump phenomenon could happen twice in a decade in the US, with Congress doing nothing to rein in the chaos, then any prior commitments the US has ever agreed to are now untenable.

These fears among our allies are further underscored by the economic and institutional unpredictability that is rampant under the Trump regime. Especially worthy of worldwide concern is how Trump has abandoned every economic and trade norm ever upheld by the US. The perception is of a demented leadership that is completely unpredictable and that, at any time, can turn on its allies and trading partners like a mad dog or—more aptly, perhaps, like a psychopath. Suddenly, our long-standing trading partners are witnessing erratic policy shifts, onerous trade tariffs, economic coercion, and apparently intentional creation of instability.

Add to this the undermining of normally independent domestic agencies, such as the Federal Reserve and regulatory agencies, and the US is garnering worldwide concern about its capriciously politicized economic management. In the end, what this means is that global investors are beginning to treat the US like a marginal and volatile State, rather than as the once foundational system in the worldwide economy.

In global economics and diplomacy this is sometimes referred to as the “concentration effect”. What this means is that the Trump regime is not just seen as damaging because of its severity, but also because of the concentration of its effects. Multiple institutional norms are being challenged simultaneously, and the assault on them is not part of a structured national policy, but the whims of a single despotic leader who is going internally unchallenged. And the messaging in this sense is continuous and global, since Trump is, perhaps, the most globally mediatic world leader in history—with the possible exception of Adolf Hitler.  

The end-result is that each action by the Trump unipersonal regime has the global effect of reinforcing the perception that the United States is no longer internally stable or externally reliable.   

Many will argue that the US has faced crises before and has always prevailed “because we are the greatest nation on earth.” But I submit—as do many other political analysts—that this time it is different.

Never before has a crisis emerged so directly from the presidency. Never before have the co-equal branches of government simply sat on their hands and watched a president wreak havoc. (For instance, Watergate was a major leadership crisis, but in that case, Richard Nixon’s own party demanded his resignation en lieu of impeachment and removal). Never, more than Trump, has a president and his administration targeted so many democratic pillars simultaneously, nor have the other branches permitted the Executive to get away with it. Never has the abuse of authority been so blatant or as consistent over time, and never have the abuse and its consequences been so domestically and internationally blatant, unbridled and visible in real time.

Seen in this light, the first fourteen months of the second stage of the Trump regime have been uniquely, historically and, perhaps, permanently damaging to the reputation, standing and integrity of the United States—more so than any other phenomenon in the nation’s history.

The eight million Americans who turned out at more than three thousand No Kings demonstrations across the country and the world recently gives me hope for the future. Still, I can’t help but ask myself daily: When are we going to quit pretending that this is business as usual, and demand, by the tens of millions, that our representatives remove this criminal tyrant from office and take back our nation?


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