Staunchly democratic Republican Liz Cheney finally said it out loud. If Donald Trump is the 2024 GOP nominee for president, she will abandon the party.
This news has been a
long time coming. Unlike some long-time iconic conservatives such as syndicated
columnist George Will, who not only abandoned the party when Trump became the
candidate in 2016, but also called on his conservative readers to vote for
Hillary Clinton because Trump was a danger to democracy, Cheney stuck it out
for Trump’s entire term. In fact, she voted for Trump’s policies more than
ninety percent of the time. But when Trump began undermining constitutional
order, Cheney, then the third highest-ranking Republican in the House of
Representatives, who had already been finding Trump’s loose and reluctant
adherence to the Constitution and to presidential traditions disturbing, voted,
along with nine other House Republicans, to impeach the then-president for
inciting a bloody insurrection against the United States Congress.
The tenacious Liz Cheney, authentic conservative |
Since then, Cheney has
become the leading conservative voice against Donald Trump’s authoritarian
designs, pointing out, principally, that Trump’s refusal, for the first time in
US history, to accept the will of the people and submit to the peaceful transfer
of power after unquestionably losing an election is intolerable, illegal and
unacceptable. She believes, with every conservative bone in her body, that her
party must either ensure that Trump never again holds office, or it will become
the vehicle for American democracy’s suicidal demise.
As such, Liz Cheney,
more than any other personality in the conservative world, has become the
poster-girl for democracy, and the clear voice of reason in an America gone
insane. Her role as vice-chair of the January Sixth Investigative Committee, has
graphically demonstrated her level of commitment to trying to save the United
States from the now ever more obvious advance of authoritarianism, since the current
GOP leadership, in a cold-sweat panic born of the virulence of Trump’s slavish
MAGA entourage, has chosen to embrace the Trump cult of personality—akin only
to the rise of far-right populist dictatorships witnessed historically in
pre-1990s Latin America, or to today’s populist far-left authoritarian regimes
in such places as Venezuela, Cuba or Nicaragua—rather than losing their seats
in Congress.
Cheney, for her part,
has risked everything, placing Nation
before party, the common good before personal political ambition and democracy
before obedience to the GOP hierarchy, of which she is no longer a part. This
last is thanks to her demotion by top House Republican and Trump sycophant
Kevin McCarthy, who has demonstrated beyond a shadow of a doubt that he will
forsake all that is sacred in American democracy and in the “Party of Lincoln”
in pursuit of his all-consuming ambition to be the next Speaker of the House.
Of the ten Republicans
who dared confront the autocratic nature of the former president and vote with
Democrats for his impeachment, the Trump political machine has left only two
standing: namely, Washington State’s Fourth District Representative Dan
Newhouse, and California’s Twenty-Second District Representative David Valadao.
Valadao was unique in
that he was the only one of the ten that Trump and his mob didn’t target. This,
despite the fact that he stated his unequivocal view in voting for impeachment
that Trump was “without question, a driving force in the catastrophic events”
at the Capitol. Perhaps it was a California thing. Despite being The Land of
Reagan, California is considered by Trumpster loyalists to be a place of evil
bent on imposing its mighty will and sinful liberal ideals on God-fearin’ folk
from coast to coast. So maybe they felt there was no point spending good
campaign money to primary Valadao in a largely heathen Democrat land where one
Republican was as likely (or unlikely) to carry through as another. Who knows?
Newhouse, for his part,
managed to survive being primaried by Trump loyalists, largely due to the
“top-two style” open primary system by which candidates are picked in
Washington State. According to this system, all candidates are listed on the
same ballot. The top two vote-getters, regardless of their partisan
affiliations, advance to the general election. As a result, in that state the
Trump camp’s practice of primarying an incumbent who doesn’t toe the boss’s
line is way less effective than elsewhere, because by this method you could
even conceivably have two candidates from the same party running against each
other in a general election and no candidate at all from the other party. It’s
all about who the two top vote-getters are in the primary process, regardless
of party affiliation.
Ohio Representative Gonzalez |
After voting for
Trump’s impeachment following the January Sixth Capitol Insurrection, Gonzalez
was censured by his party for having "betrayed his constituents (and
having) relied on emotions rather than the will of his constituents and any
credible facts." Trump supported his own former White House aide Max
Miller to run in a primary against Gonzalez in 2022, but the Ohio
congressman—and much admired former college and pro football player—preempted
that decision by announcing that he would not run again. Gonzalez’s unfortunate
decision wasn’t based, however, on the primary challenge, but on multiple credible
threats against the physical safety of both himself and his family that he has
been receiving from anonymous MAGA fanatics who, Gonzalez clearly believes,
will stop at nothing to impose Trump on American society, whether he wins in
fair elections or not.
A month after Gonzalez announced that he wouldn’t run again, the much more high-profile Congressman Adam Kinzinger did the same, and for the same reasons. The Illinois Sixteenth District representative became the target of a deluge of death threats from MAGA activists and was subject to hostility from his GOP colleagues in Congress. But the former Iraq War Air Force combat pilot hasn’t allowed that decision—or the death threats—to sway him from his criticism of Trump as a would-be tyrant and a danger to democracy. Like Cheney, he has been active and front-and-center on the January Sixth Investigative Committee, as well as becoming a familiar face on television news shows whenever the subject of Trump’s un-democratic actions has been the subject.
Rep. Adam Kinzinger - not going quietly |
One of Cheney’s veteran
congressional colleagues who, like her, voted to impeach following January
Sixth is Michigan Sixth District Representative Fred Upton. Faced with a
Trump-backed primary challenge in the midst of constant death threats, Upton
decided to end his thirty-year career in Congress and retire.
Fifty-nine-year-old New
York Twenty-Fourth District Representative John Katko made a similar decision
after the impeachment vote. He had served four terms in the House following a
long career as an attorney.
The other four,
including Cheney, who broke ranks and voted to impeach, deciding that Trump’s
role in the January Sixth Insurrection was inexcusable and impossible to ignore
for the sake of American democracy and constitutionality, were all primaried by
the Trump camp and have since lost their seats in Congress as of next year.
These include Washington State Third District Representative Jaime Lynn Herrera
Beutler, Michigan Third District Representative Peter Meijer—who was only narrowly ousted by Trump-endorsed
challenger John Gibbs—South Carolina Seventh District Representative Tim Rice,
and, finally, Cheney herself who represented Wyoming At Large.
After a career as a
State Department official and Republican presidential campaign strategist,
Cheney won her congressional bid in 2016 and has been elected to three
consecutive terms since. In her blood red state of Wyoming, her very
conservative views and her father’s iconic Republican persona made her a
veritable shoo-in for Far West voters. But her vote to impeach Trump and, worse
still, her major role in the January Sixth investigation were viewed by the
vast majority of far-right Wyoming voters as a betrayal of their trust in her
conservatism and loyalty to “their president”.
Former VP Dick Cheney - Liz is fearless |
Despite those moving
words from her veteran Republican father, Cheney’s Trump-endorsed challenger,
Harriet Hageman, trounced her, walking off with sixty-six percent of the votes.
Wyoming was clearly the wrong place for Cheney’s democratic fervor, patriotism
and loyalty to the Constitution. Her message, though absolutely right for
America, was utterly wrong for winning an election in the most MAGA state in
the Union.
All of this is
particularly disturbing to me because of my background as an opposition newsman
during dictatorial rule in Argentina. Listening to the statements of
Republicans who have decided not to run following threats to them and their
families strikes home in a very real way with me. As do stories from news
professionals in the US who have also enumerated the vicious threats made
against them for reporting honestly about the dangers facing US democracy.
These mob tactics being employed by the MAGA crowd particularly bring to mind a time shortly after my boss and mentor, Robert Cox, walked out on a twenty-year career at the Buenos Aires paper where we worked. Until then, 1979, he had stoically borne the heavy burden of his editorial decision to oppose dictatorial tyranny, but when death threats were directed at his wife and five children, the die was cast and he decided to submit to self-exile in the United States—that was decades before the Trump regime would seek to make dictatorships popular and to express actual admiration for them.
Cox, the editor who took on tyranny |
Very soon after his
departure from the paper and the country, a colleague who was marrying into one
of the wealthy families most connected to the crony system supported by the
dictatorship was invited to a cocktail party as her fiancé’s date. While
bumping shoulders with some of the strongest supporters of the authoritarian
regime, she realized the woman talking to her mother-in-law to be was the wife
of the top general in charge of Intelligence and, as such, the man directly
responsible for the reign of terror that the dictatorship employed to maintain
its power. Drawing near, she overheard the woman say, “See how we finally ran
Cox out?” and watched her mother-in-law smile with genuine glee and
congratulate the other woman.
You can be sure there
is some version of this going on in the Trump-usurped GOP as well, as MAGA
leaders gleefully watch the remaining true Republicans in the party give up and
walk out on what they see as a lost cause, or at least as an environment too
toxic for them to remain in. Indeed, in her comments this past week at The
Texas Tribune Festival in Austin, Cheney not only said that she would abandon
her party if Trump was the candidate, but also opined that the fact that Trump
could incite an insurrection and refuse to permit a peaceful transfer of power
after losing an election and still have the GOP leadership’s support for the
possibility of his running again in 2024 indicated “just how sick” the party
is.
Cheney said she would
do “whatever it takes” to try and ensure that Trump is not the GOP nominee in
the next presidential election. She repeated her pledge to do “everything in
her power” to stop Trump’s presidential bid when festival moderator Evan Smith asked
if she herself was considering running for president in 2024.
This, to my mind,
brings up an interesting point. It is clear that the nefarious influence of
MAGA Republicans in the GOP has made it next to impossible to survive
politically in that party for true believers in and defenders of democracy like
Cheney, Kinzinger, and the other eight in the House who voted to impeach Trump,
as well as for people like Mitt Romney (R-Utah) and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska)
in the Senate, who are managing to hang on to their seats but amid Trump-camp
primary challenges and attempts among their peers in Congress to ostracize them.
So how can these true
conservatives buck the autocratic MAGA trend and return their party to the
values of such icons as Dwight Eisenhower, Ronald Reagan or George H.W. Bush,
when the MAGA bandwagon is blaring the message that “this isn’t your grandpa’s
GOP” and indicating by it that not supporting the authoritarian personality
cult surrounding Donald Trump is tantamount to being a traitor to the party and
to the country—a message that the new MAGA-Republicanism has in common with
every dictatorship that has ever existed worldwide? As I see it, the answer is,
they can’t. At least not in this lifetime. The GOP has been hijacked by a
neo-fascist crowd that is bent on winning by hook or by crook, that has zero
interest in democracy or a two-party system, and that is touting the notion that
no idea that comes from anyplace but its own hierarchy is viable or acceptable.
But there is clear
evidence that the handful of true supporters of the tenets of American
democracy, justice and political tradition that remain active in the party have
a following. And Liz Cheney’s courage and true leadership have done much since
2020 to advance that support. I personally know Republicans who are
never-Trumpers and were sorrowfully yet patriotically willing to forsake their
life-long affiliations to vote against Trump, even if only for a tiny third
party candidate with absolutely no chance of winning, while others held their
noses and voted for the Democratic candidate simply to make sure that Trump
wouldn’t occupy the White House for another four years. These are people who
are now discouraged and confused since their conservative democratic ideals are
served neither by the current MAGA-Republican leadership nor by the Democrats.
There is also evidence
to suggest that Liz Cheney and never-Trump Republican politicians have further
garnered potential support among conservative independents and even among some
conservative Democrats, as well as among non-MAGA Libertarians. These are all
people who are both fed up with the drama of MAGA-Republicanism, with the
toxic autocratic image of Donald Trump, and with what they see as ever more liberal
trends in the Democratic party.
These people are all
hungry for change but see no vehicle for it, when potentially powerful leaders
like Liz Cheney, Adam Kinzinger and Mitt Romney have been definitively
sidelined in an off-the-rails GOP. And although they have been systematically
whittled down to a handful by the Trump machine in Congress, the roster of valuable
current, former and would-be conservative influencers who see Trump as an
existential threat to democracy and, indeed, to the Republican Party as such,
is actually impressively long and star-studded. You can get an idea of just how
impressive from this list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Republicans_who_opposed_the_Donald_Trump_2020_presidential_campaign
So, what’s missing
here? A new vehicle. A new party. A democratic conservative party for true
conservatives instead of a party dominated by MAGA autocrats and coup-mongers. Many
people are afraid of any modification in America’s traditional—for all intents
and purposes but not always in absolute fact—two-party system. But seeing what
has happened in the past six years, I have to ask myself if, perhaps, the US
two-party system hasn’t effectively run its course, coming dangerously close to
a shooting war between two political organizations that are striving more for
superiority over each other than for a working democracy, a constructive debate
of ideas and policies, the final compromises and balance between which are
actually beneficial to the citizens who vote for them.
A strong, authentic and
democratic conservative party could go a long way toward bringing party
politics back toward serving the people instead of continuing to be a
destructively self-serving force by, for and of itself and in detriment to the
nation it was meant to serve. Could a new conservative party win the 2024
election? Perhaps—Independent Bernie Sanders’ near-victory in the Democratic
Primary in 2016 provides an encouraging example—but probably not. It could,
however, make enormous inroads toward isolating and disempowering authoritarian
influence in the American right wing. And it could hold out a promise of
conservative authenticity that would only strengthen its influence in the
future. If the purpose of Liz Cheney and her fellow small-d democratic
Republican colleagues and constituents is really to do “everything in their
power” to halt the advance of Trump and MAGA-Republicanism, a conservative
third party could well head them off at the pass if Trump is a candidate in
2024. And it could continue to be a bright new democratic force to be reckoned
with in the future.
The even bigger problem
with cults of personality than their own undemocratic origins and selfish goals
is that, like all of us, personalities die. They are not larger than life. They
are mortal. And personality-isms, therefore, always devolve into some entirely
other “ism” once their self-centered leaders succumb to mortality—usually
something far worse, even, than their originally undemocratic selves.
The solution to Trump
and MAGA’s takeover of the GOP must come from within democratic Republican
ranks. A patriotically-founded conservative party could gain force on the strength
of its incipient resistance to the advance of authoritarianism and on the
strength of its power to split the Republican vote between true conservatives
and the MAGA autocracy in the coming election cycles, thus also serving to purge
and cleanse the right of its current authoritarian orientation. In short, it
could properly and honorably represent genuine conservatism in the United
States, while literally saving the life of American democracy.